Wednesday, December 14, 2005

Week 15 Football Bets – Early Plays

Okay, down to business, enough bullshit about claiming blogs and my travel schedule. I ran the numbers this week, and there are a few good plays that I’m getting on now!

First Bet:
Did someone say Saturday NFL!
Denver Broncos -8 -110

The Broncos are one of the NFL’s elite, while the opposite can be said for Buffalo. This Rocky Mountain team travels east to play the late game in cold climate that they are so accustom too… And expect them to open it up against the Bills arguing receiver core, almost nonexistent running game, and 2nd string QB (Losman is out this week). While Denver doesn’t have to worry about making the playoffs, they are still fighting for Home Field, and one shouldn’t expect them to play dead against this inferior team. Feel free to give the points in this one…

Second Bet:
Dallas Cowboys +2.5 -102

Washington is favored here? Dallas is the stronger team and matchs up better against strong opponents. Both teams are playing for their lives, and it’s in Washington, which could have been scary until both Oakland and San Diego came East to bet them. The Cowboys have had a tough last 3 where Washington has been winning over mediocre teams the last 2 weeks… maybe that’s where the line is where it is… Anyway, the Cowboys should win this one straight up and the extra security of a few points makes this one a nice play.

Third Bet:
Pittsburgh Steelers -3 -119

God, I hate laying this much vig. If I had any balls at all, I would pull up my skirt and bet Pitt @ -3½ at +101 and be happy… and I still might…

But for now, I’m paying a lot to have them at -3 and with this team, I like it better that way. Anyway, Pitt wins when they run the ball, and with the Bus back in action, that shouldn’t be a problem… Both teams are playing for playoff spots here, but the main difference has been their roads to get to this point. While Pitt has been struggling against good teams, the Vikings have taken advantage of every shitty team that has crossed their path (and only 1 good one). When you look at their records, Minny has only beaten one team with a winning record all year. Meanwhile they have lost to 6. Pitt on the other hand is 3-4 against the league's bettor teams and has played much closer games. I’m going with the more proven team here.

Well, those are the early plays…

Record on Posted Bets: 14-9 YTD, +4.04 units

Good Luck

- The Online Sports Bettor