Saturday, January 26, 2008

Super Bowl XLII Lines & Bets

Looking around I can find the Pats -11 right now... It's tempting as I'm pretty sure I'll be taking New England in this game.

The Giants have rolled through the playoffs, and have been monsters against the spread in the 2nd half. The Pats have been the exact opposite, going 1-7 against the spread in their last 8. In spite of this (and my best friend swearing that the Pats will only win by 3), I'm still leaning toward New England here.

First off, there is no way the Pats lose this game. They are probably the best football team in history. Secondly the Giants defense has been winning their games, but they don't match up well with the Pats offense. You can point to the end of season game where NY only lost by 3, but the Gmen did get a garbage TD at the end of the game...

Anyway, I did make my first Super Bowl Prop Bet at BoDog (Link).

2008 Super Bowl XLII Props - Ahmad Bradshaw - Total Receiving Yards UNDER 11½ -130

Good Luck.

The Online Sports Bettor

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Tuesday, January 22, 2008

Early Super Bowl betting drifts toward Giants - B Sun

Good Read from the Baltimore Sun:
The game within the game for the Super Bowl has already begun. That would be the betting interest that the NFL championship generates.

Because of the twin factors of the Patriots going for a perfect season and the inclusion of the Giants, a team from the largest metro market in the country, the amount of money expected to be bet on the game will certainly set a record of more than $100 million in Nevada alone (the record is $94.5 million for Steelers-Seahawks in January 2006). And that's the tip of the betting iceberg. Counting Internet, street wagers and private pools, the Super Bowl will generate up to a couple of billion dollars in gross wagering.

Las Vegas Sports Consultants, the traditional oddsmakers for Nevada casinos, started the line for the Patriots-Giants Super Bowl at New England favored by 14 points, with and over/under (combined points scored by both teams) of 55.

We're still a long way from the Supe with the bulk of the public money yet to flex its muscle but the early cash has been overwhelmingly on the Giants. A recent look at the Vegas odds showed the major casinos out there lowering the spread to 12, 12 1/2 points. One big-time online site had the line all the way down to 11 1/2. The over-under also has been bet down to 53 1/2, 54.

Some of that movement is an infatuation with the surprising Giants. But another part is that the Patriots -- who were just as perfect for pro-New England bettors as they were in the standings covering double-digit spreads through the first half of the season -- are 2-8 ATS since early November. The Giants, on the other hand, have covered in seven of their last eight games (13-6 ATS overall).

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Sunday, January 20, 2008

NFL Sports Betting - Playoff Week 3 Bets

New England Patriots -14 -105
The Pats blow out the injured Charges. There is not doubt that they get to the Super Bowl and they will seal that deal with a plus 2 TD win.

New York Giants +8 -105
The Giants make it a close game against the Packers. I don't see NY winning, but they surprised last week and can again in this spot.

San Diego Chargers/New England Patriots UNDER 47½ -110
New York Giants/Green Bay Packers UNDER 41 -110
Fading the publiv with both unders.

If you are looking for a good sportsbook and/or poker room and casino, check out Bodog (Link).

Good Luck.

The Online Sports Bettor

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