Sunday, February 03, 2008

Super Bowl Bets on Super Bowl Sunday

A few more hours until Super Bowl 42...

As you can see from my previous post, I'm taking the Pats to win staight up. The line on this has actually drop at BoDog from where I bet it. It's now -420.

Anyway, a lot of people have asked me my stance on the over/under in this game (currently at 54½). While I haven't bet the total (and probably still won't), I am leaning toward the under but don't see much value in it. I simply don't think it's worth a bet.

Aside from that, I still really like the New England Money Line and if forced to pick a spread bet, I would lean toward the Pats less the points this Super Bowl. People that say that the Patriots can only win the big game by 3 points, but that's garbage. Every game is different.

Again I'm listing the Super Bowl Prop Bets that I'm on. All can be found at BoDog
- Ahmad Bradshaw - Total Receiving Yards UNDER 11½ -130
- Will Laurence Maroney score a touchdown? YES -210
- Plaxico Burress - Longest Reception OVER 23½ -115
- Will the entire Fox pre-game team pick the Patriots to win the Super Bowl? NO +130
- How Many Times will Joe Buck mention Peyton Manning's name during the Broadcast? (Joe Buck must mention full name in order to count.) UNDER 5½ -120

Good Luck Football Fans. I'm rooting for a good game, and of course to win most (if not all) of my Super Bowl Bets.

The Online Sports Bettor

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Thursday, January 31, 2008

Super Bowl Money Line and Prop Bets

New England Patriots Money Line -450 (to win 2 units)

Okay, I pulled the trigger on a side. Granted, I'm giving a lot of chalk, but let's take a closer look.

The Pats are 18-0 this season. There has never been a hotter team in the NFL. Never.

Also the line is at -11.5. Normally a money line at this price would equal a spread of -7.5 or -8, so this bet is carrying an extra 3 or 4 points in value over the spread. Anytime you find a bet like this, you should take it over the spread.

Why is the Money Line so different? Well most Pats backer are probably betting the spread, and there is probably a good number of Giants backers betting their team to win straight up. This creates a split between the lines that most bettors won't realize, and with this happening on the heaviest bet game of the year, I doubt the 2 lines will move together.

My list of Super Bowl Prop Bets from BoDog
- Ahmad Bradshaw - Total Receiving Yards UNDER 11½ -130
- Will Laurence Maroney score a touchdown? YES -210
- Plaxico Burress - Longest Reception OVER 23½ -115
- Will the entire Fox pre-game team pick the Patriots to win the Super Bowl? NO +130
- How Many Times will Joe Buck mention Peyton Manning's name during the Broadcast? (Joe Buck must mention full name in order to count.) UNDER 5½ -120

Look at my older posts for write ups on each.

I'm going out of town this weekend for the game, so I might not write much until after the Super Bowl. I will post any other bets I make, but don't look for any write ups.

Anyway, that is all for now.

Good Luck this Super Bowl.

The Online Sports Bettor

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Wednesday, January 30, 2008

Super Bowl XLII - Patriots vs Giants - More Prop Bets

Adding some non-football prop bets that I think have some value...

Will the entire Fox pre-game team pick the Patriots to win the Super Bowl? NO +130

- The Giants are the lovable underdog this year. I really doubt they pick the Pats across the board.

How Many Times will Joe Buck mention Peyton Manning's name during the Broadcast? (Joe Buck must mention full name in order to count.) UNDER 5½ -120

- Joe Buck sometimes calls Eli "Peyton" by accident. I think he'll get it right during the Super Bowl. I expect him to mention Peyton, but it has to be the full name. I have to admin that this is a stupid bet, but I heard it on Howard Stern and felt like the action. Of course, I'll probably have no idea on the number of times Buck mentions him until after the game.

I'm already on:
Ahmad Bradshaw - Total Receiving Yards UNDER 11½ -130
Will Laurence Maroney score a touchdown? YES -210
Plaxico Burress - Longest Reception OVER 23½ -115

All my Super Bowl Prop Bets are from BoDog (Link).

I'll be back with a Money Line pick (hint - I'm thinking Pats) and maybe a spread bet, an over/under, and/or more props.

Good Luck.

The Online Sports Bettor

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Sunday, January 27, 2008

Super Bowl XLII Prop Bets

Are you going through the Sunday Football withdrawal this weekend? No games to watch, no stat lines to track... I know I can't wait until next weekend. For now, I'm adding a few prop bets.

Will Laurence Maroney score a touchdown? YES -210

He rushed for 2 TDs the last time he's faced the Giants. Belichick has been using him well in the redzone, and Maroney has scored a TD in the Pats last 5 games. The line is a little steep, but I really like this play.

Plaxico Burress - Longest Reception OVER 23½ -115

Burress is the Giants only deep threat, and I expect them to target him deep at least a few times in the Super Bowl. Hopefully he'll come down with 1.

I'm already on:
Ahmad Bradshaw - Total Receiving Yards UNDER 11½ -130

All my Super Bowl Prop Bets are from BoDog (Link). I'll be back with more props and bets this week.

Good Luck.

The Online Sports Bettor

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Saturday, January 26, 2008

Super Bowl XLII Lines & Bets

Looking around I can find the Pats -11 right now... It's tempting as I'm pretty sure I'll be taking New England in this game.

The Giants have rolled through the playoffs, and have been monsters against the spread in the 2nd half. The Pats have been the exact opposite, going 1-7 against the spread in their last 8. In spite of this (and my best friend swearing that the Pats will only win by 3), I'm still leaning toward New England here.

First off, there is no way the Pats lose this game. They are probably the best football team in history. Secondly the Giants defense has been winning their games, but they don't match up well with the Pats offense. You can point to the end of season game where NY only lost by 3, but the Gmen did get a garbage TD at the end of the game...

Anyway, I did make my first Super Bowl Prop Bet at BoDog (Link).

2008 Super Bowl XLII Props - Ahmad Bradshaw - Total Receiving Yards UNDER 11½ -130

Good Luck.

The Online Sports Bettor

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Tuesday, January 22, 2008

Early Super Bowl betting drifts toward Giants - B Sun

Good Read from the Baltimore Sun:
The game within the game for the Super Bowl has already begun. That would be the betting interest that the NFL championship generates.

Because of the twin factors of the Patriots going for a perfect season and the inclusion of the Giants, a team from the largest metro market in the country, the amount of money expected to be bet on the game will certainly set a record of more than $100 million in Nevada alone (the record is $94.5 million for Steelers-Seahawks in January 2006). And that's the tip of the betting iceberg. Counting Internet, street wagers and private pools, the Super Bowl will generate up to a couple of billion dollars in gross wagering.

Las Vegas Sports Consultants, the traditional oddsmakers for Nevada casinos, started the line for the Patriots-Giants Super Bowl at New England favored by 14 points, with and over/under (combined points scored by both teams) of 55.

We're still a long way from the Supe with the bulk of the public money yet to flex its muscle but the early cash has been overwhelmingly on the Giants. A recent look at the Vegas odds showed the major casinos out there lowering the spread to 12, 12 1/2 points. One big-time online site had the line all the way down to 11 1/2. The over-under also has been bet down to 53 1/2, 54.

Some of that movement is an infatuation with the surprising Giants. But another part is that the Patriots -- who were just as perfect for pro-New England bettors as they were in the standings covering double-digit spreads through the first half of the season -- are 2-8 ATS since early November. The Giants, on the other hand, have covered in seven of their last eight games (13-6 ATS overall).

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Sunday, January 20, 2008

NFL Sports Betting - Playoff Week 3 Bets

New England Patriots -14 -105
The Pats blow out the injured Charges. There is not doubt that they get to the Super Bowl and they will seal that deal with a plus 2 TD win.

New York Giants +8 -105
The Giants make it a close game against the Packers. I don't see NY winning, but they surprised last week and can again in this spot.

San Diego Chargers/New England Patriots UNDER 47½ -110
New York Giants/Green Bay Packers UNDER 41 -110
Fading the publiv with both unders.

If you are looking for a good sportsbook and/or poker room and casino, check out Bodog (Link).

Good Luck.

The Online Sports Bettor

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Sunday, January 06, 2008

NFL Sports Betting - Playoff Week 1 - Sunday

Pushed yesterday... That was a solid 1/2 point I got on the Jags.

Today:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3 +100
Instead of the Giants resting injured players last week, they went all out to try to beat the Pats. Bad move... Even though the Giants have to win a playoff game sometime, the value is with the Bucs.

That's it for today,

Good Luck.

The Online Sports Bettor

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Sunday, December 02, 2007

NFL Sports Betting - Week 13 Football Bets - Sunday's Games

New York Giants/Chicago Bears UNDER 39 -110
Weak offenses, injuries, bad weather.

Cincinnati Bengals/Pittsburgh Steelers OVER 38½ -110
Both teams can score points. This field will be better than Monday.

Four more bets that are huge public fades, 3 of which are playing at home:
Atlanta Falcons +3 -100
Arizona Cardinals -½ -110
Kansas City Chiefs +6½ -110
Oakland Raiders +4 -110

Week 13, I'm already on:
Washington Redskins -5 -110 (2 units)
Chicago Bears +2 -110
Dallas Cowboys -7 -110 - Winner

If you are looking for a good sportsbook, check out Bodog (Link).

Updated 2007 Football Record:
NFL sides: 27-20-3, +5.89 units
NFL totals: 10-8-1, +2.35 units
College: 12-12-1, +1.14 units

Good Luck.

The Online Sports Bettor

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Sunday, October 28, 2007

NFL Sports Betting - Week 8 Football Bets - Final Card

Adding three live homedogs to card. And this is it. FINAL.
Carolina Panthers +7 -110
San Francisco 49ers +2½ -110
St Louis Rams +3 -115

The only home dog I'm not betting this week is Cincy. This game looks ugly, and I'm showing value on the Steelers. Not enough for a bet, but enough to keep me off the Bengals.

Previous Bets:
Miami Dolphins +10 -110
New York Giants/Miami Dolphins UNDER 48 -110
New Orleans Saints/San Francisco 49ers UNDER 40 -110
Green Bay Packers +3 +100

Updated 2007 Football Record:
NFL sides: 13-9-1, +4.05 units
NFL totals: 7-5-1, +2.65 units
College: 9-6, +3.35 units

Good Luck.

The Online Sports Bettor

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Saturday, October 27, 2007

NFL Sports Betting - Week 8 Football Bets - Added bet and more...

I don't know much about cigars, but I just smoked a La Aurora and it was great.

It was a good day in college plays, 3-1 up 2.9 units thanks to the 2 unit bet on UConn...

New York Giants/Miami Dolphins UNDER 48 -110
I'm already on Miami for this game. I really don't like betting both a total and side on the same game, BUT there is value in this line and the weather in London doesn't look too nice.

If anyone is looking for a good sportsbook, poker room or online casino, I have to recommend BoDog. This site is one of the best online. I feel that my money is completely safe with them, they have great customer service, and they have committed themselves to the US market. If you haven't already, you should check them out --> BoDog Link


I'll probably be back with more tomorrow.

Good Luck as always.

The Online Sports Bettor

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Tuesday, October 23, 2007

NFL Sports Betting - Week 8 Football Bets

Miami Dolphins +10 -110
If this game was in the States, I would probably be on the Giants with everyone else. But no, this game is across the pond, and I can't see the NFL sending 2 teams to London just for 1 to get an ass whooping. I also expect the first regular season game ever in Europe to be an exciting, close affair since the NFL is trying to improve it's oversees viewership. If the American Football Gods are watching, this game will come down to the final drive.

The public is heavy on the Giants (93%), and Miami has to win a game sometime... right?

Good Luck.

The Online Sports Bettor

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Monday, October 15, 2007

NFL Sports Betting - Week 6 and Week 7 Football Bets - Monday Night Football

New York Giants -3½ -105
81% of all bets are on the Giants!
I've been on this bet all week, and the more I look at it, the less I like it. The Giants are the better team here, but everyone is betting them this game. It's like the Packers game last week. They were the better team, but lost and everyone was on them... That said, the public does win sometimes, so I'm letting it roll...

2 Bets for week 7 (write ups coming later):
Kansas City Chiefs +3 -115
Buffalo Bills +3 -110

NFL sides: 9-9-1, +0.05 units
NFL totals: 6-5-1, +1.65 units
College: 5-4, +1.65 units
3-0 on all bets for 2 units

Good Luck!

The Online Sports Bettor

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Saturday, October 13, 2007

NFL Sports Betting - Week 6 Football Bets - Added Play 2

Minnesota Vikings +5½ -110

The Bears are getting too much respect here. They got lucky win last week, and Minny off a bye should be ready.

Already on:
New York Giants -3½ -105
San Diego Chargers -9 -110
Tennessee Titans/Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 37½ -110

Still thinking about Dallas, Philly and a few totals.

I might have a few plays tomorrow morning...

Good Luck!

The Online Sports Bettor

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Wednesday, October 10, 2007

NFL Sports Betting - Week 6 Football Bets - Added Play

New York Giants -3½ -105
I'm giving the half point on this game, but I don't think it'll hurt me. The Falcons are in real bad shape. Their O line is in shambles, and they are going up against the same team that sacked Philly 12 times two weeks ago. Meanwhile, the Giants have been getting healthy. This will be a public play, but the public has to win sometimes, right?

Good Luck

The Online Sports Bettor

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Sunday, October 07, 2007

NFL Sports Betting - Week 5 Football Bets - Added Plays 2

NY Jets/New York Giants OVER 40½ -110 (2 units)
2 home team with bad defenses. Expect this one to be a high scoring affair.

Denver Broncos +1½ -110
Denver hasn't been a division home dog in the last 11 years for good reason

Cleveland Browns +17 -110
too many points

Already on:
Green Bay Packers -3 -120
Jacksonville Jaguars/Kansas City Chiefs under 36 110
San Francisco 49ers +4 -110
Cleveland Browns/New England Patriots OVER 48½ -110

Good Luck today.

The Online Sports Bettor

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Friday, September 14, 2007

NFL Sports Betting - Week 2 Football Bets

1-2 so far this year...

Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 -110
EVERYONE is betting against the Browns. 92% of all bets on the spread and 97% of all money line bets are coming in on the Bungles. Personally I love this play (Cincy), and I got the line at -6.5. Again, Sportsbooks don't make money losing games like this, BUT how can anyone find anything good in Cleveland right now? I can't see it. I even picked up Cinci's defense to start in 2 of my fantasy leagues.

San Diego Chargers +4 -110
Pats, Lies and Videotape. This may be New England's home opener, but I'd like to see how they do when they are not stealing signs... The Chargers are a good road team. There is a lot of distractions in NE.

I was leaning heavily toward the Packers this weekend until: "The New York Giants got a boost on Friday, as both quarterback Eli Manning and defensive end Osi Umenyiora practiced in preparation for Sunday's game against Green Bay." I may still bet this game later depending on the news out of New York.

That's all for now... I'll might have more before the weekend is over.

Good Luck.

The Online Sports Bettor

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