Sunday, February 03, 2008
Super Bowl Bets on Super Bowl Sunday
As you can see from my previous post, I'm taking the Pats to win staight up. The line on this has actually drop at BoDog from where I bet it. It's now -420.
Anyway, a lot of people have asked me my stance on the over/under in this game (currently at 54½). While I haven't bet the total (and probably still won't), I am leaning toward the under but don't see much value in it. I simply don't think it's worth a bet.
Aside from that, I still really like the New England Money Line and if forced to pick a spread bet, I would lean toward the Pats less the points this Super Bowl. People that say that the Patriots can only win the big game by 3 points, but that's garbage. Every game is different.
Again I'm listing the Super Bowl Prop Bets that I'm on. All can be found at BoDog
- Ahmad Bradshaw - Total Receiving Yards UNDER 11½ -130
- Will Laurence Maroney score a touchdown? YES -210
- Plaxico Burress - Longest Reception OVER 23½ -115
- Will the entire Fox pre-game team pick the Patriots to win the Super Bowl? NO +130
- How Many Times will Joe Buck mention Peyton Manning's name during the Broadcast? (Joe Buck must mention full name in order to count.) UNDER 5½ -120
Good Luck Football Fans. I'm rooting for a good game, and of course to win most (if not all) of my Super Bowl Bets.
The Online Sports Bettor
Labels: New England Patriots, New York Giants, NFL, sports betting, super bowl
Thursday, January 31, 2008
Super Bowl Money Line and Prop Bets
New England Patriots Money Line -450 (to win 2 units)Okay, I pulled the trigger on a side. Granted, I'm giving a lot of chalk, but let's take a closer look.
The Pats are 18-0 this season. There has never been a hotter team in the NFL. Never.
Also the line is at -11.5. Normally a money line at this price would equal a spread of -7.5 or -8, so this bet is carrying an extra 3 or 4 points in value over the spread. Anytime you find a bet like this, you should take it over the spread.
Why is the Money Line so different? Well most Pats backer are probably betting the spread, and there is probably a good number of Giants backers betting their team to win straight up. This creates a split between the lines that most bettors won't realize, and with this happening on the heaviest bet game of the year, I doubt the 2 lines will move together.
My list of Super Bowl Prop Bets from BoDog
- Ahmad Bradshaw - Total Receiving Yards UNDER 11½ -130
- Will Laurence Maroney score a touchdown? YES -210
- Plaxico Burress - Longest Reception OVER 23½ -115
- Will the entire Fox pre-game team pick the Patriots to win the Super Bowl? NO +130
- How Many Times will Joe Buck mention Peyton Manning's name during the Broadcast? (Joe Buck must mention full name in order to count.) UNDER 5½ -120
Look at my older posts for write ups on each.
I'm going out of town this weekend for the game, so I might not write much until after the Super Bowl. I will post any other bets I make, but don't look for any write ups.
Anyway, that is all for now.
Good Luck this Super Bowl.
The Online Sports Bettor
Labels: New England Patriots, New York Giants, NFL, super bowl
Wednesday, January 30, 2008
Super Bowl XLII - Patriots vs Giants - More Prop Bets
Adding some non-football prop bets that I think have some value...Will the entire Fox pre-game team pick the Patriots to win the Super Bowl? NO +130
- The Giants are the lovable underdog this year. I really doubt they pick the Pats across the board.
How Many Times will Joe Buck mention Peyton Manning's name during the Broadcast? (Joe Buck must mention full name in order to count.) UNDER 5½ -120
- Joe Buck sometimes calls Eli "Peyton" by accident. I think he'll get it right during the Super Bowl. I expect him to mention Peyton, but it has to be the full name. I have to admin that this is a stupid bet, but I heard it on Howard Stern and felt like the action. Of course, I'll probably have no idea on the number of times Buck mentions him until after the game.
I'm already on:
Ahmad Bradshaw - Total Receiving Yards UNDER 11½ -130
Will Laurence Maroney score a touchdown? YES -210
Plaxico Burress - Longest Reception OVER 23½ -115
All my Super Bowl Prop Bets are from BoDog (Link).
I'll be back with a Money Line pick (hint - I'm thinking Pats) and maybe a spread bet, an over/under, and/or more props.
Good Luck.
The Online Sports Bettor
Labels: Ahmad Bradshaw, Laurence Maroney, New England Patriots, New York Giants, NFL, Plaxico Burress, super bowl
Sunday, January 27, 2008
Super Bowl XLII Prop Bets
Will Laurence Maroney score a touchdown? YES -210
He rushed for 2 TDs the last time he's faced the Giants. Belichick has been using him well in the redzone, and Maroney has scored a TD in the Pats last 5 games. The line is a little steep, but I really like this play.
Plaxico Burress - Longest Reception OVER 23½ -115
Burress is the Giants only deep threat, and I expect them to target him deep at least a few times in the Super Bowl. Hopefully he'll come down with 1.
I'm already on:
Ahmad Bradshaw - Total Receiving Yards UNDER 11½ -130
All my Super Bowl Prop Bets are from BoDog (Link). I'll be back with more props and bets this week.
Good Luck.
The Online Sports Bettor
Labels: Ahmad Bradshaw, Laurence Maroney, New England Patriots, New York Giants, NFL, Plaxico Burress, sports betting, super bowl
Saturday, January 26, 2008
Super Bowl XLII Lines & Bets
The Giants have rolled through the playoffs, and have been monsters against the spread in the 2nd half. The Pats have been the exact opposite, going 1-7 against the spread in their last 8. In spite of this (and my best friend swearing that the Pats will only win by 3), I'm still leaning toward New England here.
First off, there is no way the Pats lose this game. They are probably the best football team in history. Secondly the Giants defense has been winning their games, but they don't match up well with the Pats offense. You can point to the end of season game where NY only lost by 3, but the Gmen did get a garbage TD at the end of the game...
Anyway, I did make my first Super Bowl Prop Bet at BoDog (Link).
2008 Super Bowl XLII Props - Ahmad Bradshaw - Total Receiving Yards UNDER 11½ -130
Good Luck.
The Online Sports Bettor
Labels: New England Patriots, New York Giants, NFL, sports betting, super bowl
Tuesday, January 22, 2008
Early Super Bowl betting drifts toward Giants - B Sun
The game within the game for the Super Bowl has already begun. That would be the betting interest that the NFL championship generates.
Because of the twin factors of the Patriots going for a perfect season and the inclusion of the Giants, a team from the largest metro market in the country, the amount of money expected to be bet on the game will certainly set a record of more than $100 million in Nevada alone (the record is $94.5 million for Steelers-Seahawks in January 2006). And that's the tip of the betting iceberg. Counting Internet, street wagers and private pools, the Super Bowl will generate up to a couple of billion dollars in gross wagering.
Las Vegas Sports Consultants, the traditional oddsmakers for Nevada casinos, started the line for the Patriots-Giants Super Bowl at New England favored by 14 points, with and over/under (combined points scored by both teams) of 55.
We're still a long way from the Supe with the bulk of the public money yet to flex its muscle but the early cash has been overwhelmingly on the Giants. A recent look at the Vegas odds showed the major casinos out there lowering the spread to 12, 12 1/2 points. One big-time online site had the line all the way down to 11 1/2. The over-under also has been bet down to 53 1/2, 54.
Some of that movement is an infatuation with the surprising Giants. But another part is that the Patriots -- who were just as perfect for pro-New England bettors as they were in the standings covering double-digit spreads through the first half of the season -- are 2-8 ATS since early November. The Giants, on the other hand, have covered in seven of their last eight games (13-6 ATS overall).
Labels: New England Patriots, New York Giants, NFL, sports betting
Sunday, January 20, 2008
NFL Sports Betting - Playoff Week 3 Bets
The Pats blow out the injured Charges. There is not doubt that they get to the Super Bowl and they will seal that deal with a plus 2 TD win.
New York Giants +8 -105
The Giants make it a close game against the Packers. I don't see NY winning, but they surprised last week and can again in this spot.
San Diego Chargers/New England Patriots UNDER 47½ -110
New York Giants/Green Bay Packers UNDER 41 -110
Fading the publiv with both unders.
If you are looking for a good sportsbook and/or poker room and casino, check out Bodog (Link).
Good Luck.
The Online Sports Bettor
Labels: Green Bay Packers, New England Patriots, New York Giants, NFL, San Diego Chargers, sports betting
Saturday, December 29, 2007
NFL Sports Betting - Week 17 Football Bets
New England Patriots -12½ -105Rumor has it that the Giants will be resting players in the 2nd. The Pats historically let their starters play. The Pats are also going for a record tonight, and I expect them to get it.
Atlanta Falcons -107
Believe it or not, the Falcons have value in this game. Seattle is locked into the 3rd seed, so like the Giants, they have nothing to play for and should be resting players.
Kansas City Chiefs +6½ -110
No one should be getting 6+ pts vs the Jets.
Miami Dolphins +2½ -110
Miami at home vs a team they can beat. They should be motivated and playing for their jobs.
Cincinnati Bengals/Miami Dolphins UNDER 45 -110
The once potent Cincinnati offense has failed to score 20 points in four consecutive games.
If you are looking for a good sportsbook and/or poker room and casino, check out Bodog (Link).
That is all for now. I'm leaving town today for Atlantic City. I'll be there through New Years, so this might be my last post of 2007.
Good Luck and Happy New Year!
The Online Sports Bettor
Labels: Atlanta Falcons, Cincinnati Bengals, Kansas City Chiefs, Miami Dolphins, New England Patriots, NFL, sports betting, sportsbook
Sunday, December 09, 2007
NFL Sports Betting - Week 14 Football Bets - Sunday's Games - Full Card
I'm jumping on this bandwagon. The world like TB to cover this week and for good reason. There is a lot of value in this line as Tampa is the better team on both sides of the ball.
Kansas City Chiefs/Denver Broncos UNDER 37 -110
This game goes fast with both teams running the ball, but with key offensive injuries, the game stays under.
Dallas Cowboys/Detroit Lions UNDER 50½ -110
just too many points in this total.
For week 14, I'm already on:
New England Patriots -10 -110
Arizona Cardinals +7 -110
That's all for now.
Good Luck.
The Online Sports Bettor
Labels: Arizona Cardinals, Dallas Cowboys, Denver Broncos, Detroit Lions, Kansas City Chiefs, New England Patriots, NFL, sports betting, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Saturday, December 08, 2007
NFL Sports Betting - Week 14 Football Bets - Sunday's Games
Updated 2007 Football Record:
NFL sides: 28-24-3, +1.39 units
NFL totals: 11-10-1, +1.15 units
College: 12-12-1, +1.14 units
Now Week 14 Football Bets:
New England Patriots -10 -110
The Pats are at home facing a team that lost to both the Jets and Rams on the road this year. True the Pats didn't cover the last two weeks, but those lines were HUGE. With the speard almost back to single digits, the Pats should cover this week at home. This is the first time I'm betting on New England all season.
Arizona Cardinals +7 -110
Larry Fitzgerald is a game time decision, but I still like this play. The Cards are a better team then they get credit for adn they are still in the playoff hunt.
That's all for now. I'll be back with more before game time. I'm currently looking hard at Philly and Tampa...
Good Luck.
The Online Sports Bettor
Labels: Arizona Cardinals, New England Patriots, NFL, sports betting
Saturday, November 03, 2007
College and NFL Football Betting - Final Card
College Football:
Arizona State +8 -110
Oklahoma State +3 -120
Colorado +4 -110
NFL Bets:
Philadelphia Eagles +3 +110
Tennessee Titans -3½ -115
Arizona Cardinals/Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 37½ -110
Denver Broncos/Detroit Lions OVER 45½ -110
New England Patriots -3 -110 for 1st Half
Minnesota Vikings +7 -110
When you look at the halftime splits, the Pats always come out hard, and the Colts seem to wake up in the 2nd half. I'm not betting the game, but I like the 1st half bet.
Minny has had a tough schedule and is getting no respect here. They are 0-4 against 500 teams, but did you know that the Charges are 0-3 against 500 teams? Give me the points on the live home dog.
Updated 2007 Football Record:
NFL sides: 16-12-1, +3.70 units
NFL totals: 8-6-1, +2.55 units
College: 9-6, +3.35 units
Good Luck!
The Online Sports Bettor
Labels: atlantic city, College Football, Minnesota Vikings, New England Patriots, NFL, sports betting
Thursday, October 11, 2007
NFL Sports Betting - Week 6 Football Bets - Does Dallas cover?
Check out my earlier posts for the 3 bets already made this week.
Good Luck.
The Online Sports Bettor
Labels: Dallas Cowboys, New England Patriots, NFL, sports betting
Sunday, October 07, 2007
NFL Sports Betting - Week 5 Football Bets - Added Plays 2
2 home team with bad defenses. Expect this one to be a high scoring affair.
Denver Broncos +1½ -110
Denver hasn't been a division home dog in the last 11 years for good reason
Cleveland Browns +17 -110
too many points
Already on:
Green Bay Packers -3 -120
Jacksonville Jaguars/Kansas City Chiefs under 36 110
San Francisco 49ers +4 -110
Cleveland Browns/New England Patriots OVER 48½ -110
Good Luck today.
The Online Sports Bettor
Labels: Cleveland Browns, Denver Broncos, Green Bay Packers, Kansas City Chiefs, New England Patriots, New York Giants, New York Jets, NFL, San Francisco 49ers, sports betting
Thursday, October 04, 2007
NFL Sports Betting - Week 5 Football Bets - Added Plays
San Francisco 49ers +4 -110
The Ravens haven't won on the road this year (losing to Cinci and Cleveland) and now they are going to San Fran and giving points? Derrick Mason, the Ravens #1 reciever, is also banged up. The 49ers should be looking forward to a home game they can win and will let it all hang out going into their bye week.
Cleveland Browns/New England Patriots OVER 48½ -110
Good value in this line. Cleveland puts up points, and the Pats haven't scored less than 34 in a game this year.
Already bet -
Green Bay Packers -3 -120
Jacksonville Jaguars/Kansas City Chiefs under 36 -110
That's all for now. I might have more later.
Good Luck.
The Online Sports Bettor
Labels: Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland Browns, Green Bay Packers, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, New England Patriots, NFL, San Francisco 49ers, sports betting
Friday, September 14, 2007
NFL Sports Betting - Week 2 Football Bets
Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 -110
EVERYONE is betting against the Browns. 92% of all bets on the spread and 97% of all money line bets are coming in on the Bungles. Personally I love this play (Cincy), and I got the line at -6.5. Again, Sportsbooks don't make money losing games like this, BUT how can anyone find anything good in Cleveland right now? I can't see it. I even picked up Cinci's defense to start in 2 of my fantasy leagues.
San Diego Chargers +4 -110
Pats, Lies and Videotape. This may be New England's home opener, but I'd like to see how they do when they are not stealing signs... The Chargers are a good road team. There is a lot of distractions in NE.
I was leaning heavily toward the Packers this weekend until: "The New York Giants got a boost on Friday, as both quarterback Eli Manning and defensive end Osi Umenyiora practiced in preparation for Sunday's game against Green Bay." I may still bet this game later depending on the news out of New York.
That's all for now... I'll might have more before the weekend is over.
Good Luck.
The Online Sports Bettor
Labels: Cincinnati Bengals, Cleveland Browns, Green Bay Packers, New England Patriots, New York Giants, NFL, San Diego Chargers, sports betting
