Thursday, January 31, 2008

Super Bowl Money Line and Prop Bets

New England Patriots Money Line -450 (to win 2 units)

Okay, I pulled the trigger on a side. Granted, I'm giving a lot of chalk, but let's take a closer look.

The Pats are 18-0 this season. There has never been a hotter team in the NFL. Never.

Also the line is at -11.5. Normally a money line at this price would equal a spread of -7.5 or -8, so this bet is carrying an extra 3 or 4 points in value over the spread. Anytime you find a bet like this, you should take it over the spread.

Why is the Money Line so different? Well most Pats backer are probably betting the spread, and there is probably a good number of Giants backers betting their team to win straight up. This creates a split between the lines that most bettors won't realize, and with this happening on the heaviest bet game of the year, I doubt the 2 lines will move together.

My list of Super Bowl Prop Bets from BoDog
- Ahmad Bradshaw - Total Receiving Yards UNDER 11½ -130
- Will Laurence Maroney score a touchdown? YES -210
- Plaxico Burress - Longest Reception OVER 23½ -115
- Will the entire Fox pre-game team pick the Patriots to win the Super Bowl? NO +130
- How Many Times will Joe Buck mention Peyton Manning's name during the Broadcast? (Joe Buck must mention full name in order to count.) UNDER 5½ -120

Look at my older posts for write ups on each.

I'm going out of town this weekend for the game, so I might not write much until after the Super Bowl. I will post any other bets I make, but don't look for any write ups.

Anyway, that is all for now.

Good Luck this Super Bowl.

The Online Sports Bettor

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Wednesday, January 30, 2008

Super Bowl XLII - Patriots vs Giants - More Prop Bets

Adding some non-football prop bets that I think have some value...

Will the entire Fox pre-game team pick the Patriots to win the Super Bowl? NO +130

- The Giants are the lovable underdog this year. I really doubt they pick the Pats across the board.

How Many Times will Joe Buck mention Peyton Manning's name during the Broadcast? (Joe Buck must mention full name in order to count.) UNDER 5½ -120

- Joe Buck sometimes calls Eli "Peyton" by accident. I think he'll get it right during the Super Bowl. I expect him to mention Peyton, but it has to be the full name. I have to admin that this is a stupid bet, but I heard it on Howard Stern and felt like the action. Of course, I'll probably have no idea on the number of times Buck mentions him until after the game.

I'm already on:
Ahmad Bradshaw - Total Receiving Yards UNDER 11½ -130
Will Laurence Maroney score a touchdown? YES -210
Plaxico Burress - Longest Reception OVER 23½ -115

All my Super Bowl Prop Bets are from BoDog (Link).

I'll be back with a Money Line pick (hint - I'm thinking Pats) and maybe a spread bet, an over/under, and/or more props.

Good Luck.

The Online Sports Bettor

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Sunday, January 27, 2008

Super Bowl XLII Prop Bets

Are you going through the Sunday Football withdrawal this weekend? No games to watch, no stat lines to track... I know I can't wait until next weekend. For now, I'm adding a few prop bets.

Will Laurence Maroney score a touchdown? YES -210

He rushed for 2 TDs the last time he's faced the Giants. Belichick has been using him well in the redzone, and Maroney has scored a TD in the Pats last 5 games. The line is a little steep, but I really like this play.

Plaxico Burress - Longest Reception OVER 23½ -115

Burress is the Giants only deep threat, and I expect them to target him deep at least a few times in the Super Bowl. Hopefully he'll come down with 1.

I'm already on:
Ahmad Bradshaw - Total Receiving Yards UNDER 11½ -130

All my Super Bowl Prop Bets are from BoDog (Link). I'll be back with more props and bets this week.

Good Luck.

The Online Sports Bettor

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