The Online Sports Bettor

San Francisco 49ers +6 (-105) over Arizona Cardinals (bet at BoDog)

I'm taking this game now. Early news doesn't look good for Boldin. He'll probably be limited even if he does play.

Super Bowl hangover - teams that lose the Super Bowl are 0-9 ATS over the last 9 years on opening day the next year. The public overrates them, and they are often too comfortable in the off season.

I'm already on:
Dallas Cowboys/Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 39

Thinking about a bet on Green Bay...

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

I didn't realize that my last post was titled "football picks", and I didn't post any picks... Anyway, if you followed my lean on the Titans, congrats you won your first game of the year. Now I'm trying to win mine.

Dallas Cowboys/Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 39

Who knows what these offenses will do? The Cowboys are without TO and are facing the 2008's 4th best pass defense. Tampa's offense is a mess. They fired their offensive coordinator a couple weeks ago and are installing a new West Coast offense lead by Byron Leftwich. They're still a rushing offense, but without a good running back. Instead they'll be cycling 3 different RBs on and off the field. This early in the year, I expect both these teams to struggle offensively and focus on the run (and eat the clock).

Thoughts:
There's been a lot of money dumped on San Fran today. With Boldin questionable and Fitz matched up vs Nate Clements, this could be a long day for the Card's offense. Clemens held Fitz to 31 and 46 yards in their two meetings last year. I'm keeping my eye on this line. Unfortunately it's been moving in the wrong direction, but I expect that to change on Sunday. I'll let you know if and when I bet this game. It's not a play yet, but it's worth looking at.

I'll have more up this weekend.

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

I don't like betting week 1. There are always a lot of upsets, and it takes a couple of weeks of real games (not preseason) to really figure teams out. Players change teams, rookies enter the league, and the coaches are still trying to figure out what works, let alone good handicappers. Hell Cleveland just named their starting QB today.

Luckily Vegas doesn't know much better, so we might find some value this week. If I do, I'll be sure to post some games.

I have no action on Thursday's game. If I had to bet, I'd lean toward the Titans with the points, but the line is solid, so I'm passing.

I'm looking forward to a new season.

Good luck all and thanks for reading.
- The Online Sports Bettor